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Fine particulate matter (PM2·5) is a known risk factor for heart failure (HF), while plant-based dietary patterns may help reduce HF risk. This study examined the combined impact of PM2·5 exposure and a plant-based diet on HF incidence. A total of 190 092 participants from the UK Biobank were included in this study. HF cases were identified through linkage to the UK National Health Services register, with follow-up lasting until October 2022 in England, August 2022 in Scotland and May 2022 in Wales. Annual mean PM2·5 concentration was obtained using a land use regression model, while the healthful plant-based diet index (hPDI) was calculated using the Oxford WebQ tool based on two or more 24-hour dietary assessments of seventeen major food groups. Cox proportional hazard models assessed the associations of PM2·5 and hPDI with HF risk, and interactions were evaluated on additive and multiplicative scales. During a median of 13·4-year follow-up, 4351 HF cases were recorded. Participants in the highest PM2·5 tertile had a 23 % increased HF risk (hazard ratio: 1·23, 95 % CI: 1·14, 1·32) compared with those in the lowest tertile. Moderate or high hPDI was associated with reduced HF risk relative to low hPDI. The lowest HF risk was observed in individuals with high hPDI and low PM2·5 exposure, underscoring the protective role of a plant-based diet, particularly in areas with lower PM2·5 levels. A healthy plant-based diet may mitigate HF risk, especially in populations exposed to lower PM2·5 levels.
To examine the risk of perinatal mental illness, including new diagnoses and recurrent use of mental healthcare, comparing women with and without traumatic brain injury (TBI), and to identify injury-related factors associated with these outcomes among women with TBI.
Methods
We conducted a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, of all obstetrical deliveries to women in 2012–2021, excluding those with mental healthcare use in the year before conception. The cohort was stratified into women with no remote mental illness history (to identify new mental illness diagnoses between conception and 365 days postpartum) and those with a remote mental illness history (to identify recurrent illnesses). Modified Poisson regression generated adjusted relative risks (aRRs) (1) comparing women with and without TBI and (2) according to injury-related variables (i.e., number, severity, timing, mechanism and intent) among women with TBI.
Results
There were n = 12,724 women with a history of TBI (mean age: 27.6 years [SD, 5.5]) and n = 786,317 without a history of TBI (mean age: 30.6 years [SD, 5.0]). Women with TBI were at elevated risk of a new mental illness diagnosis in the perinatal period compared to women without TBI (18.5% vs. 12.7%; aRR: 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24–1.39), including mood and anxiety disorders. Women with a TBI were also at elevated risk for recurrent use of mental healthcare perinatally (35.5% vs. 27.8%; aRR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.14–1.22), including mood and anxiety, psychotic, substance use and other mental health disorders. Among women with a history of TBI, the number of TBI-related healthcare encounters was positively associated with an elevated risk of new-onset mental illness.
Conclusions
These findings demonstrate the need for providers to be attentive to the risk for perinatal mental illness in women with a TBI. This population may benefit from screening and tailored mental health supports and treatment options.
This paper reports the methods and preliminary findings of Germina, an ongoing cohort study to identify biomarkers and trajectories of executive functions and language development in the first 3 years of life. 557 mother-infant dyads (mean age of mothers 33.7 years, 65.2% white, 48.7% male infants) have undergone baseline and are currently collecting data for other timepoints. A linear regression was used to predict baseline Bayley-III using scores derived from data-driven sparse partial least squares utilizing a multiple holdout framework of 15 domains. Significant associations were found between socioeconomic/demographic characteristics (B = 0.29), epigenetics (B = 0.11), EEG theta (B = 0.14) and beta activity (B = 0.11), and microbiome functional pathways (B = 0.08) domains, and infant development measured by the Bayley-III at T1, suggesting potential interventions to prevent impairments.
Our study aimed to describe the transmission dynamics and genotypic diversity of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in people deprived of liberty (PDL) in four Colombian prisons. Our cohort study included 64 PDL with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis diagnosed in four Colombian prisons. The 132 isolates were genotyped using 24-mycobacterial interspersed repeated units-variable number tandem repeats (MIRUs-VNTR). A cluster was defined when ≥2 isolates from different PDL had the same genotype. Tuberculosis acquired in prison was considered when ≥2 persons were within the same cluster and had an epidemiological link. We mapped the place of residence before incarceration and within prisons. We assessed overcrowding and ventilation conditions in the prison that had clusters. We found that the most frequent genotypes were LAM (56.8%) and Haarlem (36.4%), and 45.3% of the PDL diagnosed with tuberculosis were clustered. Most PDL diagnosed in prison came from neighborhoods in Medellin with a high TB incidence. M. tuberculosis infection acquired in prison was detected in 19% of PDL, 9.4% had mixed infection, 3.1% reinfection, and 1.6% relapse. Clusters only appeared in one prison, in cell blocks with overcrowding >100%, and inadequate ventilation conditions. Prisons require the implementation of effective respiratory infection control measures to prevent M. tuberculosis transmission.
We assessed the validity of serum total anti-nucleoprotein Immunoglobulin (N-antibodies) to identify SARS-CoV-2 (re)infections by estimating the persistence of N-antibody seropositivity and boosting following infection. From a prospective Dutch cohort study (VASCO), we included adult participants with ≥2 consecutive self-collected serum samples, 4–8 months apart, between May 2021–May 2023. Sample pairs were stratified by N-seropositivity of the first sample and by self-reported infection within the sampling interval. We calculated the proportions of participants with N-seroconversion and fold-increase (1.5, 2, 3, 4) of N-antibody concentration over time since infection and explored determinants. We included 67,632 sample pairs. Pairs with a seronegative first sample (70%) showed 89% N-seroconversion after reported infection and 11% when no infection was reported. In pairs with a seropositive first sample (30%), 82%–65% showed a 1.5- to 4-fold increase with a reported reinfection, and 19%–10% without a reported reinfection, respectively. After one year, 83% remained N-seropositive post-first infection and 93%–61% showed a 1.5-fold to 4-fold increase post-reinfection. Odds for seroconversion/fold increase were higher for symptomatic infections and Omicron infections. In the current era with limited antigen or PCR testing, N-serology can be validly used to detect SARS-CoV-2 (re)infections at least up to a year after infection, supporting the monitoring of COVID-19 burden and vaccine effectiveness.
Secondary stroke prevention can reduce subsequent vascular events, mortality and accumulation of disability. Current rates of adherence to secondary stroke prevention indicators are unknown. Our aim was to evaluate secondary stroke prevention care in Ontario, Canada.
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study using health administrative databases included all adults discharged alive following an ischemic stroke from April 2010 to March 2019. Indicators of secondary stroke prevention, including laboratory testing, physician visits and receipt of routine influenza vaccinations, were evaluated among survivors in the one year following a stroke event. The use of medication was also assessed among individuals over the age of 65 years and within subgroups of stroke survivors with diabetes and atrial fibrillation.
Results:
After exclusions, 54,712 individuals (mean age 68.4 years, 45.7% female) survived at least one year following their stroke event. In the 90 days following discharge from the hospital, most individuals (92.8%) were seen by a general practitioner, while 26.2% visited an emergency department. Within the year following discharge, 66.2% and 61.4% were tested for low-density lipoprotein and glycated hemoglobin, respectively, and 39.6% received an influenza vaccine. Among those over the age of 65 years, 85.5% were prescribed a lipid-lowering agent, and 88.7% were prescribed at least one antihypertensive medication. In those with diabetes, 70.3% were prescribed an antihyperglycemic medication, while 84.9% with atrial fibrillation were prescribed an anticoagulant.
Conclusion:
Secondary stroke prevention, especially for important laboratory values, remains suboptimal, despite thorough best practice guidelines. Future studies should explore barriers to better secondary stroke care.
Although dietary factors have been examined as potential risk factors for liver cancer, the evidence is still inconclusive. Using a diet-wide association analysis, our research evaluated the associations of 126 foods and nutrients on the risk of liver cancer in a Chinese population. We obtained the diet consumption of 72,680 women in the Shanghai Women’s Health Study using baseline dietary questionnaires. The association between each food and nutrient and liver cancer risk was quantified by Cox regression model. A false discovery rate of 0.05 was used to determine the foods and nutrients which need to be verified. Totally 256 incident liver cancer cases were identified in 1,267,391 person-years during the follow-up duration. At the statistical significance level (P ≤ 0.05), higher intakes of cooked wheaten foods, pear, grape and copper were inversely associated with liver cancer risk, while spinach, leafy vegetables, eggplant and carrots showed the positive associations. After considering multiple comparisons, no dietary variable was associated with liver cancer risk. Similar findings were seen in the stratification, secondary and sensitivity analyses. Our findings observed no significant association between dietary factors and liver cancer risk after considering multiple comparisons in Chinese women. More evidence is needed to explore the associations between diet and female liver cancer occurrence.
The Cardiovascular Health Diet Index (CHDI) is a diet quality score based on the dietary guidelines of the American Heart Association for cardiovascular health but with some adaptations, such as red meat, dairy products, beans and ultra-processed foods in its components. The CHDI has shown good relative validity parameters; however, its association with health outcomes is still unclear. Thus, our aim was to investigate the association between the CHDI score with subclinical atherosclerosis. Data from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) cohort were used. Subclinical atherosclerosis was assessed by measuring coronary artery calcification at baseline (2008–2010) and second wave (2012–2014) and carotid intima-media thickness at baseline and at the third wave (2017–2019). The CHDI score (ranges from 0 to 110 points) was applied to dietary data obtained from an FFQ at baseline. Poisson regression with robust variance, linear regression and linear mixed-effects models were used to evaluate the association of the CHDI score with coronary artery calcification incidence (n 2224), coronary artery calcification progression (n 725) and changes in carotid intima-media thickness (n 7341) over time, respectively. After a median 8-year follow-up period, a 10-point increase in the CHDI score was associated with a decrease in carotid intima-media thickness of 0·002 mm (95 % CI –0·005, –0·001). No association was observed between the CHDI score and coronary artery calcification incidence and progression after a 4-year follow-up period. Higher scores in the CHDI were prospectively associated with decreased subclinical atherosclerosis after an 8-year follow-up period.
Coercive measures to manage disruptive or violent behaviour are accepted as standard practice in mental healthcare, but systematic knowledge of potentially harmful outcomes is insufficient.
Aims
To examine the association of mechanical restraint with several predefined somatic harmful outcomes.
Method
We conducted a population-based, observational cohort study linking data from the Danish national registers from 2007 to 2019. The primary analyses investigated the association of mechanical restraint with somatic adverse events, using panel regression analyses (within-individual analysis) to account for repeated exposures and outcomes. Secondary between-group analyses were performed with a control group exposed to types of coercion other than mechanical restraint.
Results
The study population comprised 13 022 individuals. We report a statistically significant association of mechanical restraint with thromboembolic events (relative risk 4.377, number needed to harm (NNH) 8231), pneumonia (relative risk 5.470, NNH 3945), injuries (relative risk 2.286, NNH 3240) and all-cause death (relative risk 5.540, NNH 4043) within 30 days after mechanical restraint. Estimates from the between-group analyses (comparing the exposed group with a control group of 22 643 individuals) were non-significant or indicated increased baseline risk in the control group. A positive dose–response analysis for cardiac arrest, injury and death supported a causative role of mechanical restraint in the reported associations.
Conclusions
Although the observed absolute risk increases were small, the derived relative risks were non-negligible considering that less restrictive interventions are available. Clinicians and decision makers should be aware of the excess risk in future decisions on the use of mechanical restraint versus alternative interventions.
The association between negative wealth shocks and depression among middle-aged and older individuals remains unclear. Our study aimed to assess the association between negative wealth shocks and depression and its trajectories, and to explore cross-national differences in these associations
Methods
Our sample included 21 999 participants, of which 9519 were from the Health and Retirement Study (2012–2020), 4936 from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (2012–2020), 2520 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011–2020), and 5024 from the Mexican Health and Aging Study (2012–2021). We used latent class trajectory models to identify depressive trajectories, alongside mixed-model logistic regression and multinomial logistic regression to evaluate associations.
Results
In the USA (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.40–2.16), England (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.09–2.70), and China (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.09–1.75), negative wealth shocks were associated with subsequent depressive symptoms, but not in Mexico (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.86–1.29). Additionally, negative wealth shocks were associated with several depressive trajectories in the USA and China. This association occurred only in increasing–decreasing trajectory in England, while no significant association was found across any trajectory in Mexico.
Conclusions
Negative wealth shocks were associated with subsequent depressive symptoms, with significant associations observed in some specific depressive trajectories. These associations exhibited cross-national differences, underscoring the importance of considering country-specific contexts when addressing the mental health impacts of wealth shocks.
It remains uncertain whether long-term use of benzodiazepines is associated with age-related cognitive decline, and if cognitive ability in early life is the driver of any association. This study examines the association of cognitive ability in young adulthood with later use of benzodiazepines and explores whether the use of benzodiazepines during adult life is associated with cognitive decline in late midlife.
Methods
The study samples include cognitive tests on the Børge Priens Prøve (BPP) from the conscription board examination (age 19 years) from 335 513 men born 1949–1961 and data from re-examinations of 5183 men 44 years later. Cognitive decline was defined as the difference between scores at the conscription board and the re-examination. Information on purchases of benzodiazepines was obtained from the Danish National Prescription Registry, 1995–2022. Associations were analysed using Cox proportional hazards and linear regression.
Results
In total, 120 911 (36%) men purchased benzodiazepines during a follow-up of 20 years. Lower cognitive scores in young adulthood were associated with a higher risk of initiating benzodiazepines (hazard ratio [95% CI] = 0.71[0.68–0.75]). Men with the highest cumulative use of benzodiazepines had larger cognitive decline (β-coefficient [95% CI] = −1.66 [−2.09 to −1.23] BPP scores) compared with never users. Current benzodiazepine users showed a larger cognitive decline than never users (β-coefficient [95% CI] = −2.42[−3.18 to −1.66] BPP scores) and this partially explained the above association. These estimates for cognitive decline were relatively small and may lack clinical relevance.
Conclusion
Low cognitive ability increases the risk of benzodiazepine use in adulthood and cognitive decline is more pronounced in those with the highest benzodiazepine use compared with never-use, but the difference lacks clinical significance.
The prospective association between sleep duration and the development of late-life depressive symptomology is unclear.
Aims
To investigate sleep duration from midlife to late life in relation to risk of depressive symptoms in late life.
Method
A total of 14 361 participants from the Singapore Chinese Health Study were included in the present study. Daily sleep duration was self-reported at baseline (mean age of 52.4 years; 1993–98), follow-up 2 (mean age of 65.2 years; 2006–10) and follow-up 3 (mean age of 72.5 years; 2014–16) interviews. Depressive symptoms were evaluated using the Geriatric Depression Scale at follow-up 3 interviews. Modified Poisson regression models were performed to estimate relative risks and 95% confidence intervals of late-life depressive symptoms in relation to sleep duration at baseline and the two follow-up interviews.
Results
Compared with sleeping 7 h per day, a short sleep duration of ≤5 h per day at baseline (i.e. midlife) was related to a higher risk of depressive symptoms (relative risk 1.10, 95% CI 1.06–1.15), and this risk was not affected by subsequent prolongation of sleep. Conversely, a long sleep duration of ≥9 h per day at baseline was not related to risk of depressive symptoms. At follow-up 3 (i.e. late life), both short sleep (relative risk 1.20, 95% CI 1.16–1.25) and long sleep (relative risk 1.12, 95% CI 1.07–1.18) duration were cross-sectionally associated with depressive symptoms.
Conclusion
Short sleep duration in midlife, regardless of subsequent prolongation, is associated with an increased risk of depression in late life. Contrariwise, both short and long sleep duration in late life co-occur with depressive symptoms.
Systemic changes in multiple diseases may influence the onset of dementia. However, the specific temporality between exposure diseases and dementia remains uncertain.
Aims
By characterising the full spectrum of temporal disease trajectories before dementia, this study aims to yield a global picture of precursor diseases to dementia and to provide detailed instructions for risk management and primary prevention of dementia.
Method
Using the multicentre, community-based prospective UK Biobank, we constructed disease trajectories before dementia utilising the phenome-wide association analysis, paired directional test and association quantification. Stratified disease trajectories were constructed by dementia subtypes, gender, age of diagnosis and Apolipoprotein E (ApoE) status, respectively.
Results
Our study population comprised 434 266 participants without baseline dementia and 4638 individuals with all-cause dementia. In total, 1253 diseases were extracted as potential components of the disease trajectory before dementia. We identified three clusters of disease trajectories preceding all-cause dementia, initiated by circulatory, metabolic and respiratory diseases occurring approximately 5–15 years before dementia. Cerebral infarction or chronic renal failure following chronic ischaemic heart disease was the specific trajectory before vascular dementia. Apolipoprotein E (ApoE) ε4 non-carriers exhibited more complex trajectories compared with carriers. Lipid metabolism disorders remained in the trajectories regardless of dementia subtypes, gender, age of diagnosis and ApoE status.
Conclusions
This study provides a comprehensive view of the longitudinal disease trajectories before dementia and highlights the potential targets of midlife cardiometabolic dysfunction for dementia screening and prevention.
Different aspects of social relationships (e.g., social network size or loneliness) have been associated with dementia risk, while their overlap and potentially underlying pathways remain largely unexplored. This study therefore aimed to (1) discriminate between different facets of social relationships by means of factor analysis, (2) examine their associations with dementia risk, and (3) assess mediation by depressive symptoms.
Methods
Thirty-six items from questionnaires on social relationships administered in Wave 2 (2004/2005) of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (n = 7536) were used for exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis. Factors were then used as predictors in Cox proportional hazard models with dementia until Wave 9 as outcome, adjusted for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors. Structural equation modeling tested mediation by depressive symptoms through effect decomposition.
Results
Factor analyses identified six social factors. Across a median follow-up time of 11.8 years (IQR = 5.9–13.9 years), 501 people developed dementia. Higher factor scores for frequency and quality of contact with children (HR = 0.88; p = 0.021) and more frequent social activity engagement (HR = 0.84; p < 0.001) were associated with lower dementia risk. Likewise, higher factor scores for loneliness (HR = 1.13; p = 0.011) and negative experiences of social support (HR = 1.10; p = 0.047) were associated with higher dementia risk. Mediation analyses showed a significant partial effect mediation by depressive symptoms for all four factors. Additional analyses provided little evidence for reverse causation.
Conclusions
Frequency and quality of social contacts, social activity engagement, and feelings of loneliness are associated with dementia risk and might be suitable targets for dementia prevention programs, partly by lowering depressive symptoms.
The contribution of dietary saturated fatty acids (SFA) to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality remains debated after decades of research. Few previous studies had repeated dietary assessments and power to assess mortality. Evidence for individual SFA is limited. In this large population-based cohort study, we investigated associations between intake of total and individual SFA and risk of total and CVD mortality. Adult residents (mean 41·1 years at baseline) in three Norwegian counties were invited to repeated health screenings between 1974 and 1988 (> 80 % attendance). We calculated cumulative average intakes of macronutrients from semi-quantitative FFQ. Median (interquartile range) intake of SFA was 14·6 % (12·8–16·6 %) of total energy (E%). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models to assess total, CVD, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality. Among 78 725 participants, 28 555 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 33·5 years, with 9318 deaths due to CVD. Higher intake of SFA (replacing carbohydrates) was positively associated with all mortality endpoints, including total (HR per 5 E% increment, 1·18; 95 % CI 1·13, 1·23) and CVD mortality (1·16; 95 % CI 1·07, 1·25). Theoretical isoenergetic substitution of SFA with carbohydrates or MUFA was associated with lower risk. Of individual SFA, myristic (14:0) and palmitic acid (16:0) were positively associated with mortality. In summary, dietary SFA intake was strongly associated with higher total and CVD mortality in this long-term cohort study. This supports policies implemented to reduce SFA consumption in favour of carbohydrates and unsaturated fats.
Evidence linking air pollutants and the risk of schizophrenia remains limited and inconsistent, and no studies have investigated the joint effect of air pollutant exposure and genetic factors on schizophrenia risk.
Aims
To investigate how exposure to air pollution affects schizophrenia risk and the potential effect modification of genetic susceptibility.
Method
Our study was conducted using data on 485 288 participants from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the schizophrenia risk as a function of long-term air pollution exposure presented as a time-varying variable. We also derived the schizophrenia polygenic risk score (PRS) utilising data provided by the UK Biobank, and investigated the modification effect of genetic susceptibility.
Results
During a median follow-up period of 11.9 years, 417 individuals developed schizophrenia (mean age 55.57 years, s.d. = 8.68; 45.6% female). Significant correlations were observed between long-term exposure to four air pollutants (PM2.5; PM10; nitrogen oxides, NOx; nitrogen dioxide, NO2) and the schizophrenia risk in each genetic risk group. Interactions between genetic factors and the pollutants NO2 and NOx had an effect on schizophrenia events. Compared with those with low PRS and low air pollution, participants with high PRS and high air pollution had the highest risk of incident schizophrenia (PM2.5: hazard ratio = 6.25 (95% CI 5.03–7.76); PM10: hazard ratio = 7.38 (95% CI 5.86–9.29); NO2: hazard ratio = 6.31 (95% CI 5.02–7.93); NOx: hazard ratio = 6.62 (95% CI 5.24–8.37)).
Conclusions
Long-term exposure to air pollutants was positively related to the schizophrenia risk. Furthermore, high genetic susceptibility could increase the effect of NO2 and NOx on schizophrenia risk.
Momentum is building for epidemiological research undertaken with, for, and by Indigenous peoples. This work often follows a strength-based approach, emphasising the inherent assets and resilience of Indigenous communities and the role of culture as the foundation of our individual, social, ecological, and spiritual health and well-being. This chapter provides an overview of current discourses around centring Indigenous ontologies (ways of being), epistemologies (ways of knowing), and axiologies (ways of doing), also known as Indigenous ‘lifeworlds’, in epidemiology with a particular focus on Indigenous Australian (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander) perspectives. Mayi Kuwayu: The National Study of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Wellbeing is used as a key example illustrating how epidemiological research may be led, owned, and governed by Indigenous peoples to produce rigorous and meaningful data that reflect Indigenous lifeworlds, known as ‘good data’. Applying an Indigenous lens to epidemiological research generates valuable lessons for the development of the DOHaD lifecourse framework and future studies that seek to address holistic determinants of intergenerational health and well-being.
This study aimed to estimate networks of depressive symptoms among Irish adults with and without diabetes at two time points and compare between the two groups at each time point using data from the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA).
Methods:
Participants were from Wave 1 (2009–2011) and Wave 4 (2016) of TILDA, with n = 639 participants with diabetes and n = 7,837 without diabetes at Wave 1, and n = 1,151 with diabetes and n = 4,531 without diabetes at Wave 4. Depressive symptoms were measured using the 8 items of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale. Network psychometric analysis was used to examine symptom centrality, symptom-level associations, and network comparisons at each time point.
Results:
Stable, strongly connected networks emerged for people with and without diabetes at both time points. The symptoms of feeling depressed, feeling like everything’s an effort, not enjoying life, feeling sad, and couldn’t get going were the most central nodes in all networks, which did not differ between people with and without diabetes. However, for people with diabetes, the network was more densely connected at Wave 4, when the sample was predominately people with newly diagnosed diabetes. Furthermore, the relationship between ‘felt lonely’ and ‘couldn’t get going’ and between ‘not enjoying life’ and ’sad’ was significantly stronger for people with diabetes than for those without.
Conclusions:
This study provides a more detailed understanding of the structure of depressive symptoms at two time points in older Irish adults with and without type 1 or type 2 diabetes.