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Accepted manuscript

Multivariate time-series clustering analysis of the Global Dietary Database to uncover patterns in dietary trends (1990-2018)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 April 2025

Adriano Matousek
Affiliation:
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Robinson Way, Cambridge, UK
Tiffany H Leung
Affiliation:
Department of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Herbert Pang*
Affiliation:
PD Data Science & Analytics, Genentech, 1 DNA Way, South San Francisco, CA, 94080, USA School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, 27705, USA
*
*Corresponding author: email: [email protected]
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Abstract

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Objective:

Understanding country-level nutrition intake is crucial to global nutritional policies that aim to reduce disparities and relevant disease burdens. Still, there are limited numbers of studies using clustering techniques to analyse the recent Global Dietary Database. This study aims to extend an existing multivariate time-series clustering algorithm to allow for greater customisability and to provide the first cluster analysis of the Global Dietary Database to explore temporal trends in country-level nutrition profiles (1990-2018).

Design:

Trends in sugar-sweetened beverage intake and nutritional deficiency were explored using the newly developed program ‘MTSclust’. Time-series clustering algorithms are different from simple clustering approaches in their ability to appreciate temporal elements.

Setting:

Nutritional and demographical data from 176 countries were analysed from the Global Dietary Database.

Participants:

Population representative samples of the 176 in the Global Dietary Database.

Results:

In a 3-class test specific to the domain, the MTSclust program achieved a mean accuracy of 71.5% (Adjusted Rand Index [ARI]=0.381) while the mean accuracy of a popular algorithm, DTWclust, was 58% (ARI=0.224). The clustering of nutritional deficiency and sugar-sweetened beverage intake identified several common trends among countries and found that these did not change by demographics. Multivariate time-series clustering demonstrated a global convergence towards a Western diet.

Conclusion:

While global nutrition trends are associated with geography, demographic variables such as sex and age, are less influential to the trends of certain nutrition intake. The literature could be further supplemented by applying outcome-guided methods to explore how these trends link to disease burdens.

Type
Research Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society