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We consider the estimation and identification of
the components (endogenous and exogenous) of additive nonlinear
ARX time series models. We employ a local polynomial fitting
scheme coupled with projections. We establish the weak
consistency (with rates) and the asymptotic normality of
the projection estimates of the additive components. Expressions
for the asymptotic bias and variance are given.
We define new procedures for estimating generalized
additive nonparametric regression models that are more
efficient than the Linton and Härdle (1996, Biometrika
83, 529–540) integration-based method and achieve
certain oracle bounds. We consider criterion functions
based on the Linear exponential family, which includes
many important special cases. We also consider the extension
to multiple parameter models like the gamma distribution
and to models for conditional heteroskedasticity.
This paper derives the distribution of the two stage estimator
of cointegrating parameters in I(2) systems, abbreviated
2SI2, under several assumptions regarding the drift of the process.
The asymptotic distribution is compared with that of the maximum
likelihood (ML) estimator derived in Johansen (1997, Scandinavian
Journal of Statistics 24, 433–462). It is found that the
two asymptotic distributions are the same, thus showing that the 2SI2
estimator is asymptotically as efficient as ML.
This paper proposes a semiparametric estimator for
multiple equations multiple index (MEMI) models. Examples
of MEMI models include several sample selection models
and the multinomial choice model. The proposed estimator
minimizes the average distance between the dependent variable
unconditional and conditional on an index. The estimator
is √N-consistent and asymptotically normally distributed.
The paper also provides a Monte Carlo experiment to evaluate
the finite-sample performance of the estimator.
A procedure for testing the significance of a subset
of explanatory variables in a nonparametric regression
is proposed. Our test statistic uses the kernel method.
Under the null hypothesis of no effect of the variables
under test, we show that our test statistic has an nhp2/2 standard
normal limiting distribution, where p2
is the dimension of the complete set of regressors. Our test
is one-sided, consistent against all alternatives and detects
local alternatives approaching the null at rate slower than
n−1/2h−p2/4.
Our Monte-Carlo experiments indicate that it outperforms the
test proposed by Fan and Li (1996, Econometrica 64,
865–890).
Misclassification in binary choice (binomial response)
models occurs when the dependent variable is measured with
error, that is, when an actual “one” response
is sometimes recorded as a zero and vice versa. This paper
shows that binary response models with misclassification
are semiparametrically identified, even when the probabilities
of misclassification depend in unknown ways on model covariates
and the distribution of the errors is unknown.
Semiparametric and nonparametric estimation have
attracted a great deal of attention from statisticians
and theoretical econometricians in the past decade. Various
new models have been proposed, and new methods for estimating
those models have been suggested. These new models and
methods are scattered in various academic journals and
are not easily accessible to other researchers. Moreover,
the new methods are technical, not easily understood by
nonexperts such as graduate students and applied econometricians.
Horowitz has two goals in his book Semiparametric Methods
in Econometrics. First, he wants to provide a central
place for those who want to check out the semiparametric
literature. Second, he wants to present technical materials
in a nontechnical way so that graduate students and applied
econometricians who often do not have expertise in this
area can comprehend the new methods. In my view, Horowitz
has achieved both goals.