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We establish valid Edgeworth expansions for the distribution
of smoothed nonparametric spectral estimates, and of studentized
versions of linear statistics such as the sample mean,
where the studentization employs such a nonparametric spectral
estimate. Particular attention is paid to the spectral
estimate at zero frequency and, correspondingly, the studentized
sample mean, to reflect econometric interest in autocorrelation-consistent
or long-run variance estimation. Our main focus is on stationary
Gaussian series, though we discuss relaxation of the Gaussianity
assumption. Only smoothness conditions on the spectral
density that are local to the frequency of interest are
imposed. We deduce empirical expansions from our Edgeworth
expansions designed to improve on the normal approximation
in practice and also deduce a feasible rule of bandwidth
choice.
In this paper we study the properties of a pth-order
Markovian local resampling procedure in approximating the
distribution of nonparametric (kernel) estimators of the
conditional expectation m(x;φ). Under certain
regularity conditions, asymptotic validity of the proposed resampling
scheme is established for a class of stochastic processes that is
broader than the class of stationary Markov processes. Some simulations
illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed resampling
procedure.
In this paper we propose an estimation procedure for
a censored regression model where the latent regression
function has a partially linear form. Based on a conditional
quantile restriction, we estimate the model by a two stage
procedure. The first stage nonparametrically estimates
the conditional quantile function at in-sample and appropriate
out-of-sample points, and the second stage involves a simple
weighted least squares procedure. The proposed procedure
is shown to have desirable asymptotic properties under
regularity conditions that are standard in the literature.
A small scale simulation study indicates that the estimator
performs well in moderately sized samples.
The finite sample performance of spectral regression
estimators in temporally aggregated cointegrated systems
is investigated via the use of simulation experiments.
The simulations address issues such as “optimal”
choice of bandwidth parameter and effects of smoothing
kernel in constructing estimates of spectral densities
that are used by the spectral regression estimators; the
effects of stock and flow variables and mixtures of the
two, including the relative finite sample efficiency of
the estimators under different combinations of stock and
flow variables; and the effects of conducting iterations
of the spectral estimators. A striking feature of the results
is the crucial role that correct choice of bandwidth and
kernel function plays in producing accurate estimates of
the unknown parameters. Furthermore, estimates obtained
using flow data alone are found to be more efficient, in
the sense of having smaller variance, than those obtained
using stock data alone or mixtures of stocks and flows,
thereby confirming in finite samples their relative asymptotic
properties.
For a class of parametric ARCH models, Whittle estimation based on
squared observations is shown to be [square root of n]-consistent and asymptotically normal. Our conditions require the squares to have short
memory autocorrelation, by comparison with the work of Zaffaroni (1999,
“Gaussian Inference on Certain Long-Range Dependent Volatility
Models,” Preprint), who established the same properties on the
basis of an alternative class of models with martingale difference levels
and long memory autocorrelated squares.
Joseph B. Kadane, usually known as Jay among his friends and colleagues,
is a well-known figure among statisticians and econometricians. He has made
substantial contributions to the fields of Bayesian statistics, econometrics,
and many applied areas. He is well known for his work in applying statistics
to how people make decisions and draw conclusions from data.