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Appendix 6.A.2

from 6 - Constitutional Rigidity and Amendment Rate

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 April 2025

George Tsebelis
Affiliation:
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
Type
Chapter
Information
Changing the Rules
Constitutional Amendments in Democracies
, pp. 164 - 166
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2025
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NC
This content is Open Access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence CC-BY-NC 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/cclicenses/

Appendix 6.A.2

This appendix replicates Table 6.2 with different cutoff points from the POLITY2 index for democracy. The reader can verify that the results remain essentially highly significant despite the reduction in the number of cases. In addition, statistical significance increases with the substantive significance of amendments.

Table 6.A.2.1 Comparison of three models of effects of constitutional rigidity (null, mean only, and heteroskedastic) on amendment rate for POLITY2 ≥ 6 threshold (ninety-five countries; likelihood ratio tests)

SignificanceModelsChi-squarep(> Chi-square)
Null vs. mean only10.000.00157
All amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic2.080.14880
Null vs. heteroskedastic12.080.00238
Null vs. mean only6.600.01022
Significant and fundamentalMean only vs. heteroskedastic12.260.00046
Null vs. heteroskedastic18.850.00008
Null vs. mean only4.190.04077
Fundamental amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic68.461.00E+00
Null vs. heteroskedastic72.651.00E+00

Table 6.A.2.2 Comparison of three models of effects of constitutional rigidity (null, mean only, and heteroskedastic) on amendment rate for POLITY2 ≥ 7 threshold (eighty-three countries; likelihood ratio tests)

SignificanceModelsChi-squarep(> Chi-square)
Null vs. mean only5.230.02222
All amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic1.130.28679
Null vs. heteroskedastic6.360.04151
Null vs. mean only3.740.05317
Significant and fundamentalMean only vs. heteroskedastic10.300.00133
Null vs. heteroskedastic14.040.00089
Null vs. mean only1.930.16431
Fundamental amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic49.811.00E+00
Null vs. heteroskedastic51.741.00E+00

Table 6.A.2.3 Comparison of three models of effects of constitutional rigidity (null, mean only, and heteroskedastic) on amendment rate for POLITY2 ≥ 8 threshold (seventy-two countries; likelihood ratio tests)

SignificanceModelsChi-squarep(> Chi-square)
Null vs. mean only4.340.03719
All amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic0.340.55854
Null vs. heteroskedastic4.680.09613
Null vs. mean only3.100.07825
Significant and fundamentalMean only vs. heteroskedastic7.160.00745
Null vs. heteroskedastic10.260.00591
Null vs. mean only1.550.21365
Fundamental amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic46.821.00E+00
Null vs. heteroskedastic48.371.00E+00

Table 6.A.2.4 Comparison of three models of effects of constitutional rigidity (null, mean only, and heteroskedastic) on amendment rate for POLITY2 ≥ 9 threshold (fifty-four countries; likelihood ratio tests)

SignificanceModelsChi-squarep(> Chi-square)
Null vs. mean only7.260.00703
All amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic2.110.14666
Null vs. heteroskedastic9.370.00923
Null vs. mean only3.530.06028
Significant and fundamentalMean only vs. heteroskedastic12.320.00045
Null vs. heteroskedastic15.840.00036
Null vs. mean only1.470.22585
Fundamental amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic38.941.00E+00
Null vs. heteroskedastic40.401.00E+00

Table 6.A.2.5 Comparison of three models of effects of constitutional rigidity (null, mean only, and heteroskedastic) on amendment rate for POLITY2 ≥ 10 threshold (thirty-five countries; likelihood ratio tests)

SignificanceModelsChi-squarep(> Chi-square)
Null vs. mean only5.000.02538
All amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic0.780.37602
Null vs. heteroskedastic5.780.05554
Null vs. mean only2.840.09168
Significant and fundamentalMean only vs. heteroskedastic8.390.00377
Null vs. heteroskedastic11.230.00364
Null vs. mean only1.880.17067
Fundamental amendmentsMean only vs. heteroskedastic38.601.00E+00
Null vs. heteroskedastic40.481.00E+00

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