Hostname: page-component-669899f699-chc8l Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-04-30T09:51:12.344Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Present-biased heterogeneity, marginal propensity to consume, and wealth distribution

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 December 2024

Yuan Li
Affiliation:
School of Finance, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China
Jinqiang Yang
Affiliation:
School of Finance, Fullgoal Institute for ESG Research, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai Institute of International Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China
Siqi Zhao*
Affiliation:
School of Economics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China Shanghai Institute of International Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China
*
Corresponding author: Siqi Zhao; Email: [email protected]

Abstract

This paper studies the heterogeneity of households’ present bias in a heterogeneous-agent model. Our model jointly matches the average marginal propensities to consume and the wealth distribution in the USA, even when all wealth is liquid. A fiscal stimulus targeting households in the bottom half of the wealth distribution improves the consumption response. A financial literacy campaign removing present bias gets naive households out of the debt trap but harms sophisticated households’ wealth accumulation due to a lower equilibrium interest rate. Finally, we show that a borrowing cost penalty and illiquidity both discipline excessive borrowing and are therefore potential remedies for present bias and naivete.

Type
Articles
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Article purchase

Temporarily unavailable

References

Acharya, S., Jimenez Gomez, D., Rachinskii, D. and Rivera, A. (2022) Present-bias and the value of sophistication. Available at SSRN 3722608.Google Scholar
Achdou, Y., Han, J., Lasry, J. M., Lions, P. L. and Moll, B. (2022) Income and wealth distribution in macroeconomics: A continuous-time approach. The Review of Economic Studies 89(1), 4586.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aguiar, M. A., Bils, M. and Boar, C. (2024) Who are the Hand-to-Mouth? The Review of Economic Studies. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdae056 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Akerlof, G. A. (1991) Procrastination and obedience. American Economic Review 81(2), 119.Google Scholar
Amador, M., Werning, I. and Angeletos, G. M. (2006) Commitment vs. flexibility. Econometrica 74(2), 365396.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ameriks, J., Caplin, A., Leahy, J. and Tyler, T. (2007) Measuring self-control problems. American Economic Review 97(3), 966972.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Angeletos, G. M. and Huo, Z. (2021) Myopia and anchoring. American Economic Review 111(4), 11661200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Attanasio, O., Kovacs, A. and Moran, P. (2020). Temptation and commitment: Understanding hand-to-mouth behavior. No. w27944. National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Attanasio, O. P., Banks, J., Meghir, C. and Weber, G. (1999) Humps and bumps in lifetime consumption. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 17(1), 2235.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, R. A. (1980) On the long-run steady state in a simple dynamic model of equilibrium with heterogeneous households. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 95(2), 375382.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benhabib, J., Bisin, A. and Luo, M. (2019) Wealth distribution and social mobility in the US: A quantitative approach. American Economic Review 109(5), 16231647.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beshears, J., Choi, J. J., Laibson, D., Madrian, B. C. and Milkman, K. L. (2015) The effect of providing peer information on retirement savings decisions. The Journal of Finance 70(3), 11611201.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Beshears, J., Choi, J. J., Laibson, D., Madrian, B. C. and Skimmyhorn, W. L. (2022) Borrowing to save? The impact of automatic enrollment on debt. The Journal of Finance 77(1), 403447.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bewley, T. (1982) An integration of equilibrium theory and turnpike theory. Journal of Mathematical Economics 10(2-3), 233267.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bos, M., Breza, E. and Liberman, A. (2018) The labor market effects of credit market information. The Review of Financial Studies 31(6), 20052037.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carroll, C. D., Crawley, E., Slacalek, J., Tokuoka, K. and White, M. N. (2020) Sticky expectations and consumption dynamics. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 12(3), 4076.Google Scholar
Castañeda, A., Díaz-Giménez, J. and Ríos-Rull, J. V. (2003) Accounting for the US earnings and wealth inequality. Journal of Political Economy 111(4), 818857.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chan, M. K. (2017) Welfare dependence and self-control: An empirical analysis. The Review of Economic Studies 84(4), 13791423.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cooley, T. F. and Prescott, E. C. (1995) Economic growth and business cycles In: Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De, N., Fella, G. and Paz-Pardo, G. (2020) Nonlinear household earnings dynamics, self-insurance, and welfare. Journal of the European Economic Association 18(2), 890926.Google Scholar
De Nardi, M. (2004) Wealth inequality and intergenerational links. The Review of Economic Studies 71(3), 743768.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dobbie, W. and Song, J. (2015) Debt relief and debtor outcomes: Measuring the effects of consumer bankruptcy protection. American Economic Review 105(3), 12721311.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epper, T., Fehr, E., Fehr-Duda, H., Kreiner, C. T., Lassen, D. D., Leth-Petersen, S. and Rasmussen, G. N. (2020) Time discounting and wealth inequality. American Economic Review 110(4), 11771205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fagereng, A., Holm, M. B. and Natvik, G. J. (2021) MPC heterogeneity and household balance sheets. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 13(4), 154.Google Scholar
Farhi, E. and Werning, I. (2019) Monetary policy, bounded rationality, and incomplete markets. American Economic Review 109(11), 38873928.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gelman, M. (2021) What drives heterogeneity in the marginal propensity to consume? Temporary shocks vs persistent characteristics. Journal of Monetary Economics 117, 521542.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gourinchas, P. O. and Parker, J. A. (2002) Consumption over the life cycle. Econometrica 70(1), 4789.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guiso, L., Pozzi, A., Tsoy, A., Gambacorta, L. and Mistrulli, P. E. (2022) The cost of steering in financial markets: Evidence from the mortgage market. Journal of Financial Economics 143(3), 12091226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harris, C. and Laibson, D. (2013) Instantaneous gratification. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 128(1), 205248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaplan, G. and Violante, G. L. (2022) The marginal propensity to consume in heterogeneous agent models. Annual Review of Economics 14(1), 747775.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaplan, G., Violante, G. L. and Weidner, J. (2014). The wealthy hand-to-mouth. No. w20073. National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krusell, P. and Smith, A. A. Jr. (1998) Income and wealth heterogeneity in the macroeconomy. Journal of Political Economy 106(5), 867896.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laibson, D. (1997) Golden eggs and hyperbolic discounting. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 112(2), 443478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laibson, D., Lee, S. C., Maxted, P., Repetto, A. and Tobacman, J. (2024). Estimating discount functions with consumption choices over the lifecycle. The Review of Financial Studies. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae035 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Liu, L., Niu, Y., Wang, Y. and Yang, J. (2020) Optimal consumption with time-inconsistent preferences. Economic Theory 70(3), 785815.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lockwood, B. B. (2020) Optimal income taxation with present bias. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 12(4), 298327.Google Scholar
Lockwood, L. M. (2018) Incidental bequests and the choice to self-insure late-life risks. American Economic Review 108(9), 25132550.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Maskin, E. and Tirole, J. (2001) Markov perfect equilibrium: I. Observable actions. Journal of Economic Theory 100(2), 191219.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maxted, P. (2023). Present bias unconstrained: consumption, welfare, and the present-bias dilemma. Available here: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6186b3b155561c2ab5fe4957, 2022, 62: 1659150753483.Google Scholar
Meghir, C. and Pistaferri, L. (2011) Earnings, consumption and life cycle choices In Handbook of labor economics, vol. 4, pp. 773854.Google Scholar
Mian, A., Straub, L. and Sufi, A. (2021) Indebted demand. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 136(4), 22432307.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mitra, T. and Sorger, G. (2013) On Ramsey’s conjecture. Journal of Economic Theory 148(5), 19531976.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
O’Donoghue, T. and Rabin, M. (1999) Doing it now or later. American Economic Review 89(1), 103124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O’Donoghue, T. and Rabin, M. (2001) Choice and procrastination. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(1), 121160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parker, J. (2017) Why don’t households smooth consumption? Evidence from a $25 million experiment. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9(4), 153183.Google Scholar
Pfäuti, O. and Seyrich, F. (2022). A behavioral heterogeneous agent new Keynesian model. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4032472 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4032472.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Piketty, T. (2014) Capital in the twenty-first century: A multidimensional approach to the history of capital and social classes. The British Journal of Sociology 65(4), 736747.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prescott, E. C. (1986) Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement. In: Carnegie-Rochester conference series on public policy. Vol. 25, North-Holland, pp.1144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Quadrini, V. (1999) The importance of entrepreneurship for wealth concentration and mobility. Review of Income and Wealth 45(1), 119.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ramsey, F. P. (1928) A mathematical theory of saving. The Economic Journal 38(152), 543559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sargent, T. J., Wang, N. and Yang, J. (2021) Earnings growth and the wealth distribution. Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America 118(15), e2025368118.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Strotz, R. H. (1955) Myopia and inconsistency in dynamic utility maximization. The Review of Economic Studies 23(3), 165180.CrossRefGoogle Scholar