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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 02 December 2024
For a prime p and a rational elliptic curve $E_{/\mathbb {Q}}$, set
$K=\mathbb {Q}(E[p])$ to denote the torsion field generated by
$E[p]:=\operatorname {ker}\{E\xrightarrow {p} E\}$. The class group
$\operatorname {Cl}_K$ is a module over
$\operatorname {Gal}(K/\mathbb {Q})$. Given a fixed odd prime number p, we study the average nonvanishing of certain Galois stable quotients of the mod-p class group
$\operatorname {Cl}_K/p\operatorname {Cl}_K$. Here, E varies over all rational elliptic curves, ordered according to height. Our results are conditional, since we assume that the p-primary part of the Tate–Shafarevich group is finite. Furthermore, we assume predictions made by Delaunay for the statistical variation of the p-primary parts of Tate–Shafarevich groups. We also prove results in the case when the elliptic curve
$E_{/\mathbb {Q}}$ is fixed and the prime p is allowed to vary.
Communicated by Michael Coons
From September 2022 to September 2023, the first author’s research is supported by the CRM Simons postdoctoral fellowship.