Hostname: page-component-7b9c58cd5d-g9frx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-03-16T18:14:44.479Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Barking up the right tree: Are small groups rational agents?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2025

James C. Cox*
Affiliation:
Department of Economics and Experimental Economics Center, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30302-3992
Stephen C. Hayne*
Affiliation:
Department of Computer Information Systems, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523

Abstract

Both mainstream economics and its critics have focused on models of individual rational agents even though most important decisions are made by small groups. Little systematic work has been done to study the behavior of small groups as decision-making agents in markets and other strategic games. This may limit the relevance of both economics and its critics to the objective of developing an understanding of how most important decisions are made. In order to gain some insight into this issue, this paper compares group and individual economic behavior. The objective of the research is to learn whether there are systematic differences between decisions made by groups and individual agents in market environments characterized by risky outcomes. A quantitative measure of deviation from minimally-rational decisions is used to compare group and individual behavior in common value auctions.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2006 Economic Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alderson, M. J., & Betker, B. L. (1999). Assessing post bankruptcy performance: an analysis of reorganized firms’ cash flows. Financial Management, 28(2), 6882.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bazerman, M., & Samuelson, W. (1983a). The winner's curse: an empirical investigation. In Tietz, Reinhard (Ed.), Aspiration-oriented decision making.Google Scholar
Bazerman, M., & Samuelson, W. (1983b). I won the auction but don't want the prize. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 27, 618634.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blinder, A. S., & Morgan, J. (2005). Are Two heads better than one? An experimental analysis of group vs. individual decision making. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 37, 789811.Google Scholar
Bornstein, G. (1992). The free rider problem in intergroup conflicts over step-level and continuous public goods. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 62, 597606.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bornstein, G., & Yaniv, I. (1998). Individual and group behavior in the ultimatum game: are groups more “rational” players?. Experimental Economics, 1, 101108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Capen, E., Clapp, R., & Campbell, W. (1971). Competitive bidding in high-risk situations. Journal of Petroleum Technology, 23, 641653.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cason, T. N., & Mui, V.-L. (1997). A laboratory study of group polarization in the team dictator game. Economic Journal, 107, 14651483.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cooper, D. J., & Kagel, J. (forthcoming). Are two heads better than one? Team versus individual play in signaling games. American Economic Review, in press.Google Scholar
Cox, J., Dinkin, S., & Swarthout, J. (2001). Endogenous entry and exit in common value auctions. Experimental Economics, 4, 163181.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, J., & Isaac, R. (1984). In search of the winner's curse. Economic Inquiry, 22, 579592.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, J., & Isaac, R. (1986). In search of the winner's curse: Reply. Economic Inquiry, 24, 517520.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, J. H. (1992). Some compelling intuitions about group consensus decisions: Theoretical and empirical research, and interpersonal aggregation phenomena: Selected examples, 1950-1990. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 52, 338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dyer, D., & Kagel, J. H. (1996). Bidding in common value auctions: how the commercial construction industry corrects for the winner's curse. Management Science, 42(10), 14631475.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eberhart, A., Altman, E., & Aggarwal, R. (1999). The equity performance of firms emerging from bankruptcy. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 18551868.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gigone, D., & Hastie, R. (1993). The common knowledge effect: Information sharing and group judgment. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 65, 959974.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoffman, E., Marsden, J., & Saidi, R. (1991). Are joint bidding and competitive common value auction markets compatible? - Some evidence from offshore oil auctions. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 20, 99112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hogarth, R., & Reder, M. (1987). Rational choice: the contrast between economics and psychology. Chicago. University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Holt, C., & Sherman, R. (1994). The loser's curse. American Economic Review, 84(3), 642.Google Scholar
Hotchkiss, E. (1995). The post-emergence performance of firms emerging from chapter 11. Journal of Finance, 50, 321.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Isenberg, D. J. (1986). Group polarization: a critical review and meta analysis. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 50(6), 11411151.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kagel, J., & Levin, D. (1986). The winner's curse and public information in common value auctions. American Economic Review, 76(5), 894920.Google Scholar
Kagel, J., Levin, D., Battalio, R., & Meyer, D. (1989). First-price common value auctions: bidder behavior and the “winner's curse”. Economic inquiry, 27, 241248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kerr, L. N., MacCoun, R. J., & Kramer, G. P. (1996). Bias in judgment: comparing individuals and groups. Psychological Review, 103, 687719.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laughlin, P. R. (1980). Social combination process of cooperative problem-solving groups at verbal intellective tasks. In Fishbein, M. (Ed.), Progress in Social Psychology, (vol. 1, pp. 127155). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.Google Scholar
Laughlin, P. R., & Ellis, A. L. (1986). Demonstrability and social combination processes on mathematical intellective tasks. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 22, 170189.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laughlin, P. R., Kerr, N. L., Munch, M., & Haggerty, C. A. (1976). Social decision schemes of the same four-person groups on two different intellective tasks. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 33, 8088.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lind, B., & Plott, C. (1991). The winner's curse: experiments with buyers and with sellers. American Economic Review, 81, 335346.Google Scholar
McGrath, J. E. (1984). Groups: interaction and performance. Englewood, NJ: Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Thaler, R. H. (1988). Anomalies: The winner's curse. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2, 191202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Thaler, R. H. (1992). The winner's curse. In Thaler, R. H. (Ed.), The winner's curse. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Thiel, S. (1975). Some evidence on the winner's curse. international Journal of Game Theory, 4(1), 2555.Google Scholar